Talk:Australia and coal

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Park note

park note from Garnaut's recent report -- will return in a few hours --Bob Burton 03:35, 8 September 2008 (EDT)

The strongest practical conclusion to be drawn from this line of analysis is that the future of the Australian coal industry depends critically on the success of carbon capture and storage not only in Australia, but in the rest of the world, and especially in Australia’s major coal markets in Asia.


Under the 550 ppm and 450 ppm global mitigation scenarios modelled by the Review, the demand for Australia’s coal largely depends on the ability of coal generation to capture a share of an expanding electricity market in a rapidly growing world. The modelling assumes that CCS technologies from 2020 onwards are able to capture 90 per cent of coal-fired electricity generators’ emissions. While this assumption causes global demand for coal to remain relatively high, global mitigation causes the rate of growth to moderate, such that Australian coal exports fall by around 25 per cent by 2050 and 20 per cent by 2100,

relative to the base case.

As the carbon price rises to high levels, zero-emissions electricity generation becomes increasingly competitive against coal generation, even where 90 per cent of CCS is assumed. It is likely that the development of zero-emissions technologies would increase demand for coal-fired energy generation and hence maintain global demand for coal. Global modelling undertaken by the Review shows that the introduction of a near-zero-leakage CCS technology (with leakage reduced from 10% to 0.1%) would

significantly increase the demand for coal-fired electricity generation and hence increase demand for Australian coal, relative to a scenario with only 90 per cent CCS.


Archives catalogues:

MCA on the coal industry

  1. Ellis, M.H. 1969 A saga of coal, Angus & Robertson, Sydney.
  2. Hargraves, A.J. (Ed) 1993 History of Coal Mining in Australia, The Con Martin Memorial Volume. Monograph 21. The Australasian Institute of Mining & Metallurgy, Melbourne.
  3. Huleatt, M.B. 1991 Handbook of Australian black coals: Geology, resources, seam properties and product specification, Resources Report 7. Bureau of Mineral Resources, Geology and Geophysics, Canberra.
  4. Traves, D.M. and King, D. 1975 Coal, in Knight, C. (Ed),Economic Geology of Australia and Papua New Guinea, Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, Melbourne.
  5. Woodcock, J.T. and Hamilton, J.K. (eds) 1993 The Sir Maurice Mawby Memorial Volume, Volume 2. The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, Melbourne.
  6. Woodcock, J.T. (ed) 1984 Victoria's brown coal — A huges fortune in chancery, The Sir Willis Conolly Memorial Volume, The Australasian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy, Melbourne.